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Montréal, Québec, Canada, 2008/09/09 - Semiconductor revenues will approach $267 billion this year, marking the fifth consecutive revenue-breaking year for the industry. Not coincidentally, semiconductor materials have been recording record revenues and volumes over this same time.
Electronics.ca Publications, the electronics industry market research and knowledge network, announces the availability of a new report entitled "SEMI Material Market Data Subscription".
There has been a fair amount of discussion about the current state or downturn that our industry is currently in. However, this topic primarily pertains to the equipment sector, not the chip and materials segments. In fact it is expected that the semiconductor materials segment will be $12.6 billion larger than the semiconductor equipment market this year. Moreover, while a lot of attention is given to the equipment industry, the semiconductor materials market has been quietly posting record revenues since 2004 and is forecasted to dominate the equipment market over the next few years.
Comparison of Semiconductor Equipment and Semiconductor Materials Markets:
The Semiconductor Industry Association anticipates that semiconductor revenues will approach $267 billion this year, marking the fifth consecutive revenue-breaking year for the industry. Not coincidentally, semiconductor materials have been recording record revenues and volumes over this same time. Growth was seen in both the wafer fabrication materials and packaging sectors, which are expected to reach $26.8 billion and $19.9 billion.
Japan continues to dominate worldwide semiconductor materials consumption at 22% market share. In 2004 Taiwan surpassed North America as the second largest materials consuming region. North America now represents the fifth largest consumer of semiconductor materials by value after being surpassed by both Rest of World (ROW) and South Korea over the past couple of years.
Rest of World includes Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and other areas in Southeast Asia. Considerable levels of new fab capacity have been invested in these regions and each also has a more substantial package assembly base compared to North America.
Taiwan is expected to remain in the number two position for the immediate future. While both Japan and Taiwan have significant fab and packaging bases, the materials market in ROW is primarily due to packaging materials.
The semiconductor materials market is expected to grow in all regions except Europe and North America this year. Not surprisingly, China is expected to experience the strongest growth of 24%.
Wafer Fabrication Materials:
Fab materials currently account for about 60% of the total worldwide semiconductor materials market, with the majority of revenues coming from silicon wafer sales. Taken together, silicon and photomasks account for 62% of the wafer fabrication materials market. All wafer fab product categories experienced strong growth in 2007 except wet chemicals, photomasks, and sputter targets, resulting in growth of 16% for the entire segment. The growth picture in 2008 is expected to be more moderate, with overall growth of 7%. In 2009 and 2010, overall fab materials growth is expected to moderate to 9% and 6%, respectively.
One of the most dramatic changes in semiconductor materials is the emergence of the packaging materials market as packaging becomes increasingly critical to the performance of the device. Packaging materials represented about 33% of the total semiconductor materials market by revenue in 1998 and are forecasted to represent 43% of the semiconductor materials market in 2008.
This shift is due to an increased use of laminate substrates and advanced polymeric materials for ball grid array, chip scale and flip chip packaging. These materials are forecasted to experience stronger growth in the coming years as portability and functionality drive more demanding packaging requirements.
Additionally, the price or gold has significantly increased, causing the wire bonding segment to experience growth of 36% in 2007. In response to the soaring price of gold, device manufacturers are turning to thinner diameter wires and are exploring copper wiring.
Much like wafer fabrication materials, semiconductor packaging materials are also expected to exhibit slower growth rates during the next three years within the range of 5% in both 2009 and 2010 to reach $20.9 billion and $22.0 billion, respectively. Excluding variabilities in gold pricing and assuming laminate substrates are removed from the forecast, the growth rate drops to 3% to 2% annually. Thus a good portion of the forecasted growth in packaging materials is due to advanced substrates.